may also struggle. Through 17 starts, he is 4-9 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that positive regression is unlikely as he ranks in the bottom half of the league in expected batting average, average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. With that said, he profiles similarly to Schmidt. Boston also features the stronger lineup, so it should be able to fend off New York in what is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair.: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting siteThe Red Sox opened as a -120 favorite and were quickly bet up to their current price of -124. I only expect this line to keep moving in their favor considering their much stronger lineup and a relatively even pitching matchup.
That brings us to the total, which opened at 10 and remains at that number. That is a fairly big number, but with how many high-scoring games the Red Sox find themselves in every night combined with this pitching matchup, it would not be too surprising if the market moves it to 10.5 before first pitch.
There have now been 10 or more total runs scored in 20 of Boston’s past 25 games. With that said, New York’s weak lineup would likely cause buy-back if the market does move.
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