The mood on Wall Street is decidedly bullish, as investors watched the benchmark S&P 500 index notch its fourth consecutive record close on Friday amid rising optimism that the U.S. and China are headed toward an agreement that could ease tensions over trade and create much needed certainty for U.S. corporations as they plan for 2020 and beyond.
Since October 3 through Friday’s close, the S&P 500 SPX, +0.77% has risen 7.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial DJIA, +0.80% as advanced 7.4% and the Nasdaq Composite index COMP, +0.73% has gained 9.7%. “The U.S. economy is not falling on a cliff, but the domestic economy is continuing to slow,” Lydia Boussour, senior U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, told MarketWatch. She expects GDP growth to decline from 2.3% this year to 1.6% in 2020, with growth held down by continued weakness in business investment and a U.S. consumer that will remain healthy, but whose situation will cease improving as job growth slows.
Global growth to bottom out, but not rebound American companies shouldn’t count on a rebound in growth abroad either to boost earnings. Boussour predicts global economic growth will come in at 2.5% in 2020, the same rate as in 2019, and down from 3.2% growth in 2018, with growth in China slowing from 6.1% to 5.7%, as the world’s second-largest economy contends with higher trade barriers and its ongoing effort to reduce economy-wide debt loads.
Source: News Formal (newsformal.com)
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