Will Justin Amash disrupt the presidential election?

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The 360 | Will Justin Amash disrupt the presidential election?

Michigan congressman Justin Amash on Tuesday announced he was forming an exploratory committee for a potential presidential run as a candidate for the Libertarian Party.

Amash’s odds of winning the presidential election in November appear to be incredibly small. The Libertarian Party’s candidate in 2016, Gary Johnson, received just 3.3 percent of the vote. But third-party candidates can still play a major role in deciding who becomes president. Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein each earned enough votes to cover Trump’s margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in several key swing states in the last election.

Story continuesOthers have challenged the assumption that Amash would primarily siphon votes from Biden. His record of fierce opposition to government spending and social programs might prove unappealing to moderate voters. At the same time, those small-government principles could be inviting to conservatives who might otherwise cast a reluctant vote for Trump.

 

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Who This tea party Republican will only get Republican votes. Democrats won't vote for a teabillie.

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2 competing theories about how Justin Amash changes the 2020 raceJustin Amash's move toward a presidential bid on the Libertarian Party ticket is not terribly impactful in its own right. The Michigan congressman has somewhere close to a 0% chance of winning a single state in November, much less the presidency. But his likely candidacy has set off a furious debate within the political world that centers on this question: Does Amash's candidacy make it more or less likely that President Donald Trump can win a second term in November?
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