Why Israel's brand new war plan against Iran won’t survive

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Israel’s latest war plan ambitiously ignores an underperforming Iron Dome system, internal IDF schisms, political deadlock, and budgetary failures as it gears up for war against Iran

Israel’s latest war plan is dubbed ‘Momentum’, seeking to maximize its technological edge against Iran and other regional enemies.

Momentum was supposed to be put into effect much earlier, but with Israel facing its third elections in a year; approval was delayed significantly due to countless coalition governments, and repeated budgetary reviews. Between 2012 and 2015, three multi-year plans didn’t survive for lack of budgetary approval or funding. "The threats are not waiting for us [to be ready for them] [...] We are in a singular place in which if we don’t step on the gas hard now, and literally increase the momentum, a gap will develop — not in a month, not in a year, but in the next few years," says Chief of Staff Aviv Kohavi.

Exemptions from military service for ultra-orthodox Jews, who nonetheless campaign for the most military action also generates wide-spread perceptions of un-shared risks. With the ‘Momentum’ plan’s execution, these challenges are likely to be reflected in the political arena; possibly hindering its achievement altogether.Jonathan Conricus, IDF spokesperson describes its key elements in a mid-February briefing.

 

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