Why Florida Could Go Blue In 2020

, according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages.) But could what happened in 2018 — when Florida was so much redder than the nation that it was out of reach for Democrats, even in a wave election — happen again in 2020?

It’s true that, on the surface, Nelson and Gillum barely improved upon Hillary Clinton’s 1.2-point loss in Florida in 2016. Accounting for the much bluer national environment, that would imply either that Florida is immune to shifts in the national mood or that the state lurched to the right sometime in the intervening two years.

Ultimately, Scott won because they did significantly better than Trump in a handful of big counties, virtually erasing Democratic gains elsewhere. Most glaringly, Miami-Dade County — Florida’s most populated county — and Osceola County voted more than 8 points more Republican in the 2018 Senate race than in the 2016 presidential race. In addition, Nelson underperformed Clinton by 6 points in the much less populous Hendry County.

What’s so special about these counties? They are Florida’s three majority-Hispanic counties, and it turns out that Hispanic voters voted significantly less Democratic in 2018 than in 2016. According to exit polls, Hispanic voters voted for Nelson

FiveThirtyEight woodywoodpecker biden and swindeling disinformation of the virus and conjob coverup of $44 millions 🇺🇦🇨🇳silence monies🇨🇳🇺🇦 to burisma and presidentxi Remnants of obamaworstpresidentever

FiveThirtyEight Only if it’s underwater.

FiveThirtyEight Lol, did they do 2016 poll too?

FiveThirtyEight Because trump is the other choice?

FiveThirtyEight Well we know what ABC News wants. Great Activist journalisming

FiveThirtyEight FiveThirtyEight and say so... I'm all in on this report!

FiveThirtyEight Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha! Only in your crazed media democrat delusion.

FiveThirtyEight Wishful thinking their ABC

FiveThirtyEight THE IMBECILES IN THE MEDIA IS DOWNPLAYING THE VIOLENCE UNREST ACROSS THE COUNTRY. They are saying it's Trump's fault for the gangs, thugs, shootings, lootings & killings that are going on. I hope Americans can see through the bullshit that is on the news every night.

FiveThirtyEight Midterms are not very good harbingers for the General election

FiveThirtyEight

FiveThirtyEight Hope not , Biden is a pathetic choice sheeple, but you dummies know that

FiveThirtyEight Insanity!

FiveThirtyEight Not to mention the horrible Republican Governor we are dealing with currently.

FiveThirtyEight Why it wont. Because Trump will win it. Fucking polls had that caught naked dude AndrewGillum winning by like 13 points like 2 weeks before the election. We all know how that eneded

FiveThirtyEight Miami county being red is the last county i expect to see red

FiveThirtyEight Hoes mad

FiveThirtyEight Here some real news

FiveThirtyEight Is that because the Governor is trying get them sick?

FiveThirtyEight Let's Hope and Pray!! We MUST get rid of 45!!!

FiveThirtyEight Could? Will.

FiveThirtyEight Who writes yet approves this bullshit. Do you think more viewers will watch that hate trump!

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