When a Virus Spreads Exponentially

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How math can help us make sense of the barrage of information we’re receiving daily

Fighting a pandemic like Covid-19 requires experts in many fields: epidemiologists who study the spread of disease, doctors who treat the sick, scientists who work on finding a vaccine. There is math involved in all of these specialties, but math can also help us to make sense of the barrage of information that we’re receiving daily.

The starting point is the math of exponential growth. The word “exponential” is sometimes used informally to mean “really fast,” but mathematically it means something very specific: that a quantity...

 

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People had this math laid out for the world to see at the start of the year.

We know that the % increase in the number of daily deaths is decreasing across the country: 3/15 - 3/26: 46% 3/27 - 4/3: 26% The curve is flatter over the last week than the previous week and a half.

wsj months behind in informing people that viruses spread exponentially. good thing most people get their news from independent journalists who explained this months ago.

you can't spread once you reach 100%

Don't they always spread exponentially?

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