Liberal Leader and Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau delivers his victory speech on Oct. 21, 2019 in Montreal, Canada. | Cole Burston/Getty ImagesOTTAWA — Spring, summer or fall? The question comes up a lot in Ottawa these days as Justin Trudeau’s minority Liberal government readies its 2021 Budget.Pollster and podcaster David Herle is guest author of the April 7 edition of Politico’s Corridors newsletter. He suggests summer might extend a winning opportunity to the Liberal government.
Are the differences in approach stark enough or dramatic enough that the government could condition the public to agree that an election is necessary regardless of whether the opposition unite to topple them or not? Election timing will be driven by the pandemic. Case levels and vaccine availability will be more important than polling numbers in the short term. Nobody wants another Newfoundland election debacle.Can we safely hold the election? If we get the framing right can we win a majority?
Elly Alboim, Earnscliffe principal, former CBC parliamentary bureau chief, former senior adviser to Martin, Wynne and countless cabinet ministers:
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