US early vote total already exceeds 2016 levels

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More people already have cast ballots in this year's US presidential election than voted early or in absentee in 2016 race

In Florida, for example, Democrats have outvoted Republicans by a 596,000 margin by mail, while Republicans only have a 230,000 edge in person.

Campaigns typically push their voters to cast ballots early so they can focus scarce resources chasing more marginal voters as the days tick down to Election Day. That usually saves them money on mailers and digital ads — something the cash-strapped Trump campaign would likely want — and minimizes the impact of late surprises that could change the race.

But Bonier warned that he does not expect a one-sided election. “There are signs of Republicans being engaged,” he said. “We do expect them to come out in very high numbers on Election Day.”That split in voting behaviour, Democrats voting early and Republicans on Election Day, has led some Democrats to worry about Trump declaring victory because early votes are counted last in Rust Belt battlegrounds.

 

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