US Dollar (DXY) Forecast – Longer-Term Trend Remains in Play

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The US dollar drifted lower post-FOMC but remains in a dominant ascending channel that has been in force since mid-June last year. Get your market update from nickcawley1 here:

The minutes of the January 26 FOMC meeting highlighted the central bank’s concern over the current level of inflation in the US but disappointed the market by giving no new clues, or a timetable, on the path and pace of interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction.

While the minutes had a slightly hawkish overtone, financial markets have already priced in a series of interest rate hikes this year. The market pricing of a 50 basis point hike at the next Fed meeting in March continues to swing around with the likelyhood now seen around 50% after having been nearly fully priced in last week.The US dollar drifted lower post-FOMC but remains in a dominant ascending channel that has been in force since mid-June last year.

 

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