appeared to show U.S. support and plans for a Ukrainian counteroffensive. One document purported to argue that Ukraine would only be able to secure"modest territorial gains" in a spring counteroffensive.
Emitter data, used to track Russian forces, seen in the now-public documents, show that while there was a Russian military presence south of Kherson, it was far smaller than elsewhere in the region. A push southward from Kherson would not only place Ukrainian troops closer to Crimea—which Russia annexed in 2014, and—but would also allow them to flank the Russian military from the west.
"Russian forces may be prioritizing maintaining defenses in urban areas such as Oleshky and Nova Kakhovka, leaving the islands in the Dnipro River delta unmanned," the ISW suggested.
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