U.S. greenhouse gas emissions rebounded sharply in 2021, new analysis shows

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U.S. greenhouse gas emissions rebounded sharply in 2021, rising about 6.2% over last year when the economy was dampened by lockdowns, restaurant closures and travel disruptions.

A new analysis found that pre-pandemic emissions declines will not be enough to reach the administration's climate goals.

The U.S. remains off track to achieve its climate targets for 2025 and 2030, says the analysis, which relies on preliminary energy and economic data.“We expected emissions to rise again. That’s not in and of itself indicative that the U.S. is off track to meet our goals,” said Kate Larsen, a partner at Rhodium who helped with the analysis. “What was concerning is that emissions rebounded faster than the overall economy.

“Natural gas production was disrupted last year so coal outcompeted gas,” Larsen said. It was the first yearly increase in coal generation since 2014, the analysis says. President Joe Biden’s goal is to reduce emissions by 50 percent to 52 percent below 2005 levels by 2030. Larsen said the emissions trajectory preceding the pandemic — of moderate declines due to changes in how the U.S. generates power — remains largely unchanged.

 

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