Trump's main 2024 GOP primary opponent could be Trump fatigue

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Trump has consistently led 2024 hopefuls in the GOP primary, but a recent CBS News-YouGov survey showed signs that Trump's biggest factor in the race isn't potential challengers like GovRonDeSantis; it's voter fatigue.

Trump has consistently led 2024 hopefuls in the GOP primary, but a recent CBS News-YouGov survey showed signs that Trump's biggest factor in the race isn't potential challengers like Gov. Ron DeSantis ; it's voter fatigue.The poll showed 58% of GOP primary voters would vote for Trump, compared to 22% who would back DeSantis. Yet more than half of the voters who said they wouldn't vote for Trump, 54%, said it was because Trump is"too controversial.

Potential contenders include DeSantis, who is not a declared presidential candidate but is expected to announce a campaign launch soon. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley was the first major Republican to enter the presidential race in February. Since then, former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy have launched campaign bids. Sen. Tim Scott is expected to announce a presidential campaign later this month.

Grossmann said there does appear to be an opening for a non-Trump candidate in the race,"but there would have to be obviously coordination around one alternative that would have to withstand scrutiny, and that is more of a test." Past campaign cycles have shown several candidates who were the flavor of the month only to flame out. During the 2016 cycle, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush was widely seen as a front-runner before collapsing.

Haley, in her campaign launch in February and in recent days, has argued for a generational change among political leaders."America needs a new generation of leaders to renew our national strength and pride," Haley wrote in a Fox News op-ed."It’s why I support term limits for members of Congress, and why I’ve called for mental competency tests for politicians over the age of 75.

 

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