support from rural men and white men without college degrees in Wisconsin, two constituencies that were supposed to be among his strengths. In the, he is only up 0.1 percentage points in Wisconsin, 1 in Michigan, and 2.1 in Pennsylvania. He would need at least one of those three states to win even if he takes the other battleground states, meaning he is just a good couple of months for Biden away from blowing those leads and losing in November.
On the one hand, Biden is old, wildly unpopular, and trailing the man he beat in 2020 despite the advantage one would assume an incumbent president typically has. On the other hand, Trump is also old and unpopular, has already lost to Biden before, and has not built the demanding lead a candidate should have over someone with Biden’s numbers.
It is the one silver lining to an otherwise terrible presidential election. Hopefully, at least one party can return to a semblance of sanity, in the Democrats’ case, or prioritize winners who actually make changes, in the case of the GOP.
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