When you bet this in the base market instead of the hit market, you get a nice discount. I priced Estrada to get a hit at -182, which makes this one of the most significant values on the board. With that said, heavy juice or not, I had to include it here.strada has gotten a hit three consecutive times that he's faced the Dodgers and is riding a decent hot streak of hits in eight of the last ten games.
This is a play on the numbers. Sheehan throws the fastball over 50%, and hitters have hit over the league average against it a shade under .240. Estrada will enter this game with the third-highest batting average against the fastball among qualified Giants and the second-highest average against it in tonight's expected lineup. That makes this pretty straightforward. Give me Estrada to keep streaking.
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