sides of the Brexit divide talk sanctimoniously of the “will of the people”. Leavers cite the 17.4m who voted to leave in June 2016, insisting too that most of them want a hard Brexit. Remainers claim opinion is changing, pointing to a march for a “people’s vote” in London on March 23rd that drew a purported 1m people, and a petition to revoke Article 50 which has attracted 6m signatories.
In truth, the will of the people is decidedly muddy, declares Sir John Curtice in his latest report for NatCen Social Research, based on survey data collected in early February. Since the autumn of 2016 NatCen has polled the same panel of voters, who like the country as a whole were divided in the referendum by 52% to 48% in favour of Leave.The most striking finding is how gloomy both sides have become. Among both Leavers and Remainers, only 6% now think that Britain will get a good Brexit deal.
Might voters warm to a different deal from the one negotiated by Mrs May? NatCen finds almost 60% of voters ready to accept free movement of people from thein exchange for free access to its single market. That seems to point to support for a Norway-style soft Brexit, one of the choices forYet Sir John is cautious about the chimera of a unifying soft Brexit.
What if there were another referendum? NatCen suggests that a re-run would produce a 55-45% Remain majority. Given the chaos in Parliament, that margin may even have risen since February. But Sir John warns against being too certain of the result. After all, most polls in 2016 suggested Remain would win."The elusive will"
Most of Britain want a no deal eu exit. The remain camp are a small minority
alllibertynews Strange that I’ve seen polls that show 92% of people are in favour of leaving, but then I’m intelligent enough to realise the result depends on who the polls are aimed at.
The problem is that brexiters will increase their pressure. Any new EU issues will be contested and on the next elections theyy'd get more parliamentary power and the whole relation UK-EU will be a never ending,messy raw, to en up where it all started.
Everyone?
And loads of Remainers wouldn’t vote, just like last time and it would end up 52/48 just like last time.
DavidTennantUK It's not really a re-run, is it. Unless it's as gerrymandered, misleading & corrupt as last time.
and the one after that?
bullshit
Bollocks
Conspiracy theory: May be that was the idea ab initio. Put together such a bad Brexit deal that Leavers will give up. Remainers are probably having the last laugh.
Thats what they thought in the first one
It was worth all this just to get 'Lord SnEUty'
Can't trust referendums
I am sure, will be a 60-40 remain majority!!
😂😂😂
delong What about the other 56 surveys?
delong Rather than nullify Brexit, why don't they accept it and have a 'Join EU' referendum.
So, pretty much the same as the opinion polls in June 2016 where were turned on their heads with the 52-48% actual result.
/ Well thanks for displaying the Percentages that makes sure another Referendum will not happen resulting in a war amongst the Conservatives?
mission accomplished: It is always possible to bind together a considerable number of people in love, so long as there are other people left over to receive the manifestations of their aggressiveness.” ― Sigmund Freud, Civilization and Its Discontents
And the 1%? Seriously though, this confidence is setting Remain up for another loss - the issues with the 2016 vote haven't been fixed and the process is open to manipulation.
55%-44% in favour of remain you say, first I thought %means of 100, not 99. 2nd how is it everyone if 44% still want to leave, figures I also do not believe
And a re-re-re-run a 70 % leave majority ?
So based on the 2016 polls this means Leave will win with a bigger majority, thanks for the info!
Pols are never ever wrong
Did any survey predicted Brexit win or Trump
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