The year before COVID saw the smallest number of births in generations, 3.75 million. That was down from 4.32 million in 2007.Then, the COVID lockdowns caused the largest single-year percentage drop on record — almost 4% fewer babies, down to 3.61 million in 2020.
The earliest numbers for 2023 show things are continuing to drop. The first quarter of 2023 saw births 1% lower than the first quarter of last year.Q1 2022: 876,078— TFR Tracker July 27, 2023 Births are also down 2.5% compared to the first quarter of 2020, which was pre-pandemic. Zoom out, and you see a steady drop of about 0.8% per year, with some ups and downs in between because of COVID.
“The federal government was more generous than in earlier bouts of economic hardship, offering expanded unemployment benefits, extra-large stimulus checks and a bigger child tax credit,” the Washington Post’s Catherine Rampell wrote. It’s a plausible story, as one of the biggest factors dragging down birthrates has been parents’ attachment to the office.
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