It's how Arnott arrived at this recommendation that's particularly interesting. His two-pronged rationale is outlined in detail below. And, as you'll note, Arnott's thought processes are driven by the quantitative principles he's been developing for decades — the ones top firms pay big bucks to learn about.Arnott doesn't understand why any long-term investors would concern themselves with the daily trials and tribulations of the US-China.
So how does EM fit into this discussion? For one, it's the area of the market that's been most negatively impacted by the trade war. If those steep losses are overdone at all, Arnott argues EM will snap back into its historical equilibrium, which means a bullish recovery from current levels. However, when it comes to capital-market appreciation, Arnott says it's mostly driven by mature adults in the 45-to-65 age range. He argues that markets do best when the mature population is larger.
Source: News Formal (newsformal.com)
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