The re-emergence of Kavanaugh controversy could hurt Democrats' Senate chances in 2020

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The re-emergence of the controversy surrounding Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to the Supreme Court could hurt Democrats' Senate chances in 2020 | Analysis by CNN's ForecasterEnten

The re-emergence of the controversy surrounding Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to the Supreme Court has put Democrats in a challenging political position.

Last year, amid allegations of sexual misconduct that Kavanaugh denied, the vast majority of Senate Democrats voted against his confirmation.The Senate elections that followed suggest a cautionary tale for Democrats relitigating the Kavanaugh nomination heading into 2020. Polling models produced by now Washington Post analyst David Byler, FiveThirtyEight and I found that the Democrats chance of winning the Senate was slashed from 30%-40% in mid-to-late September to 10%-20% by Election Day.

 

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