The one poll that Democrats need to care about most

On the surface, Democratic candidates fared quite well in the 2020 elections, winning control of the White House and the U.S. Senate, while holding onto their majority in the U.S. House. But just below the surface, these gains did not translate into down-ballot successes — leaving Republicans in powerful positions in state offices nationwide.

characterized this as a dynamic in which the GOP could have"a nearly insurmountable advantage in the 2022 midterm elections."To be sure, it's a problem that Democrats are positioned to lose power even if voters cast ballots the same way they did a year ago. To overcome this structural hurdle, Democrats would likely need a substantial national advantage, since winning slightly more votes might still lead to less power.

In case this isn't obvious, if Democrats were ahead on the generic ballot by two or three percentage points, that would also be a problem for the party, because the lead would be too small to overcome the GOP's structural advantage, given the unlevel playing field.

MaddowBlog Why is MSNBC so invested in being simply 'less-shitty' than Fox News atm?

MaddowBlog 'Problem for Democrats' is an interesting spin. Why not characterize it as 'Unconstitutional, anti-democratic voter suppression and election manipulation by Republicans'?

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