“Many people in Myanmar struggle to see how nonviolence can be effective in a situation where the regime is willing to unleash extraordinary levels of violence against ordinary people,” said Richard Horsey, a longtime analyst on Myanmar at the International Crisis Group. “They believe the only way to dislodge the regime is also with violence.”
Serious concerns remain about the potential loss of innocent life in an armed revolt. In May, a bomb hidden in a gift exploded at a wedding in Yangon, killing the bride and two relatives. Several guests were injured. The groom was accused of being an informant for the military. Lightly armed and hastily trained, the opposition forces pose little threat of defeating the Tatmadaw, a war-hardened modern army of at least 300,000 troops that’s spent decades fighting insurgencies and inflicting terror on civilian populations.But if resistance groups can launch enough guerrilla operations over widespread territory, analysts say the opposition may at least exhaust the Tatmadaw and deny it control, leading both sides toward either a bloody stalemate or a war of attrition.
That could mean establishing international trade routes from rebel-controlled territory or integrating some of the more than 1,500 soldiers who haveResistance fighters say they’re growing stronger in numbers, but remain short on food and ammunition. Then there’s the bureaucratic headache of forming an army and trying to coordinate with politicians and ethnic minority groups resistant to taking orders from newly arrived ethnic majority Bamar fighters.
“Decision makers need to make their decisions quicker,” said the 36-year-old former teacher now hiding out in Myanmar’s border region. “Holding a Zoom meeting with 80 or 100 participants is totally unacceptable.”Aung Kyaw said his alliance comprises 50 anti-junta groups from across the country, suggesting the resistance movement is growing more cohesive. Volunteers train for months, learning how to build explosives and deploy them on army positions.
Odd how they’re outraged at the military now, yet, when the military was committing all kinds of atrocities against the Rohinga, they cheered them on, odd lot of folks.
this is terrible news
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