Euro, Hong Kong dollar, U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, British pound and Chinese 100-yuan banknotes are seen in a picture illustration shot January 21, 2016. To match Special Report CHINA-INVESTMENT/EUROFX REUTERS/Jason Lee/Illustration/File PhotoMay 13 - If financial markets are right, interest rates won't just stay high this year, but possibly forever.
Yet making the right call on where rates settle is a huge challenge for policymakers and investors -- many economists reckon R-star is lower than before the great financial crisis, but disagree on how to calculate it, its current level and whether it is rising. But productivity gains have slowed and potential growth is seen subdued on both sides of the Atlantic, factors economists reckon dampen investment.
That may continue; 16% of the world population will be over 65 in 2050, from 10% in 2022, the United Nations projects. That will likely be most strongly felt in Europe. "We've got negative shocks that essentially destroy demand. It's not clear that that will raise R-star," he said.
Source: Financial Digest (financialdigest.net)
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