The big questions for second Republican debate center around one man and one woman

Mark Penn, former senior adviser to the Clintons and Stagwell chairman and CEO, discusses a new 2024 election poll, the GOP candidate field and the top issues for voters in key demographics.

Independents can vote in the GOP primaries of 23 states, and they are starting to move towards Haley. In this month’s Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, Haley beats Biden by 4 points in a head-to-head for the first time with 40 percent of the Independent vote. Scott also beats Biden by 2 points in the poll. A strong economic plan could be the biggest differentiator in debate number two. Inflation and the economy remain the top concern for voters, but the candidates barely spoke about economic issues in the last debate. Scott’s new balanced budget plan is a step in the right direction though few voters have heard about it yet.

The newest ABC News/Washington Post poll gives Trump a massive 10-point lead over Biden with registered voters. The poll may be an outlier, but it hurts the non-Trump field whose campaigns are based on how they are the ones who can defeat Biden. It upsets the conventional wisdom that Trump can’t win and if there are more polls like this, more Republican voters may just stick with Trump.

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