Democratic handwringing is reaching immense proportions after President Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance. But Donald Trump still faces a deeply polarized electorate with only slim leads in key swing state polls. And his track record suggests he is incapable of winning more than 50 percent of the popular vote; at his high point in 2020, he won just 46.8 percent.
Here’s a clear-eyed look at some of Trump’s weaknesses and how a VP pick might be able to help. They include names on his public short list as well as a few others that won’t fade from the conversation — or which he’d be smart to at least consider.Biden didn’t oust Trump from the White House in 2020 by running up the score in big cities. Rather, he rolled up huge margins in the suburbs, particularly in the swing states that determined the outcome.
Stefanik — the only woman included in short lists reported by the press — has a similar problem. Describing herself as “ultra MAGA” isn’t likely to win over women voters who are Trump skeptics. On abortion, both have advocated more restrictive positions than Trump himself.In an election where roughly one-fifth of the electorate is unsatisfied with both major party nominees, a running mate who appeals to this group — the so-called double haters — could be a significant asset.
Donalds and Carson face similar challenges. Donalds’ electoral record in his Republican-dominated, southwest Florida-based congressional district proves only that he can win GOP voters — only 5 percent of the population is Black. Carson may have once been a hero to many African Americans, but that was before his 2016 presidential bid — and before his harsh critiques of President Barack Obama., the son of Cuban immigrants, makes more sense as a running mate.
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