Talking the Tropics With Mike: Fast strengthening Lee Central Atlantic... T.D. #14 forms E. Atlantic

REMEMBER WHEN A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE IS APPROACHING: Taping windows is *not* recommended & will not keep glass from breaking. Instead close curtains & blinds.

*Current* indications are north & northeast of Puerto Rico over the weekend then a veer more northwest east of the Bahamas & east of Fl. Given weakening shear, warm sea surface temps. & already fast organization + nearly unanimous agreement among the forecast models, the third major hurricane of the Atlantic season is likely on the way. Fluctuations in intensity will be modulated by structural changes such as eyewall replacement cycles from the weekend into much of next week.

The Bermuda High remains anchored rather far north & east which is favorable for an early turn north what looks to be a well developed & strong hurricane. But once Lee has rounded the western edge of the Bermuda high while an upper level trough is moving through the Central & Eastern U.S.

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