The watch indicates scattered instances of large hail, damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two are possible in any storms that form.Remember that a severe thunderstorm watch means conditions are conducive to intense storms, but not a guarantee. On the other hand, if a severe thunderstormis issued for your location, it means a severe storm is imminent and you should seek shelter immediately.
The midday showers threw a bit of a wrinkle in the forecast, shutting down the likelihood of multiple rounds of storms. Instead, we’re probably just looking at one round of scattered storms in the late afternoon and early evening hours as the cold front approaches. “The strongest of these storms will be capable of damaging wind gusts and hail,” the Weather Service wrote.Original article
The storms may come through in two rounds, the first between around 2 and 4 p.m. and the second between 4 and 7 p.m. The jet stream configuration highlights an unusually vigorous trough, or southward dip, in the core of the jet, which will also be intensifying through the afternoon. A belt of very strong winds from the west will overspread the area and strengthen our wind shear, the increase in wind speed and turning of winds with altitude. The “dynamic uplift” caused by the advancing trough will work in concert with an unstable air mass to generate scattered to widespread thunderstorms.
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