Sanders follows a path to the nomination blazed by ... Donald Trump

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Sanders follows a path to the nomination blazed by Donald Trump by AndrewRomano

Welcome to 2020 Vision, the Yahoo News column covering the presidential race with one key takeaway every weekday and a wrap-up each weekend. Reminder: There are 5 days until the Iowa caucuses and 279 days until the 2020 election.

The truth is, their differences are just as pronounced as their similarities, and far more substantive. Trump had zero political experience before running for president. Sanders first ran for office in 1972 and has been serving the public in one capacity or another — mayor, congressman, senator — for the last four decades. Trump has no ideology. Sanders has been championing the same progressive policies since the start of his career: single-payer health care, anti-interventionism, fair trade.

Story continuesThe reason Trump wound up winning was that he faced a huge field of 16 rivals, including several big-name Republicans who split the anti-Trump vote: Cruz, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, John Kasich. Their continued presence in the race — and the lack of any mechanism that could winnow all but one of them out — prevented mainstream Republicans from consolidating behind a single alternative to Trump until it was too late for him to be stopped.

It’s entirely possible that Sanders could prevail in this year’s primary with even less overall support than Trump. The day of the 2016 Iowa caucuses, Trump was polling nationally at 35.8 percent, on average; Cruz was at 20.3 percent; Rubio was at 10 percent. No one else was in double digits.

This might have major implications in November. The Sanders campaign promises that their man will lure new, nontraditional voters to the polls, much as Barack Obama did in 2008. Given Sanders’s non-mainstream appeal and the unrivaled enthusiasm he engenders among his supporters, that’s not implausible.

 

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