San Andreas Fault 'earthquake drought' may be due to a long-lost ancient lake

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Scientists are investigating the possibility the weight of the ancient lake may have caused more frequent, large ruptures on the fault.

at the Geological Society of America's 2020 Annual Meeting, Hill and colleagues suggested an ancient lake that once sat above this southern section may have been involved in ruptures. They say the weight of the water in Lake Cahuilla, which has been drying out for almost 1,000 years, may have placed additional strain on the fault, increasing the frequency of large earthquakes—albeit to a very small degree.

"It's not that [water] lubricates the fault," Hill said in a statement."Imagine your hands stuck together, pressing in. If you try to slip them side by side, they don't want to slip very easily. But if you imagine water between them, there's a pressure that pushes [your hands] out—that's basically reducing the stress [on your hands], and they slip really easily.

Sylvain Barbot, Assistant Professor of Earth Sciences at the University of Southern California, who was not involved in the study, toldthe research"brings attention to a critical segment of the San Andreas fault that is expected to snap into a great earthquake at any moment."

 

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