cybercriminal activity emanating from Russia. Further, I would add, it’s unclear to what extent past Russian conflicts will or will not be useful case studies for understanding Russia’s moves in the coming weeks.
All of that said, Ukraine, the US, and the rest of Europe must look far beyond the Russian military and security services when assessing and preparing for Russian state cyber threats. The proxy web is central to the Kremlin’s cyber strategy and operations, and so is the Russian government’s deployment and leveraging of hackers based overseas.
The American and European governments should continue using intelligence disclosures to publicly identify Russian proxies, in this case those operating in cyberspace. Deniability is important to the Kremlin, and the US and its allies and partners should work with Ukraine to undermine it where cyber proxies are concerned.
A complex, opaque, and entangled web of proxies can generate deniability, confusion, the need to fend off multiple ongoing attacks at once—and from the Kremlin’s perspective, that’s part of Russia’s cyber power, power the world can't afford to ignore.
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