An elderly Ukrainian villager walks along a road on the outskirts of Dibrova on July 23, 2022.There are two kinds of people in the world: Those who believe the defining challenge of the 21st century will be climate change, and those who know that it will be the birth dearth, the population bust, the old age of the world.
But it’s important for the weird people more obsessed with demography than climate to keep hammering away, because whatever the true balance of risk between the two, the relative balance is changing. Over the past 15 years, some of the worst-case scenarios for climate change have become less likely than before. At the same time, various forces, the COVID crisis especially, have pushed birthrates lower faster, bringing the old-age era forward rapidly.
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