Redistricting power at stake in 2020 legislative elections

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The reins of political power will be at stake in the 2020 U.S. elections — not just for the presidency, but for thousands of lower-profile elections for state House and Senate seats.

FILE - In this Sept. 12, 2019, file photo, State Rep. John Szoka of Fayetteville, looks over a redistricting map during a committee meeting at the Legislative Office Building in Raleigh, N.C. The reins of political power will be at stake in the 2020 U.S. elections — not just for the presidency, but for thousands of low-profile elections for state House and Senate seats.

The Constitution requires a census once every 10 years. That population count then is used to redraw districts for the U.S. House of Representatives and state legislative chambers. States that grow rapidly can gain congressional seats while those that fail to keep pace can lose seats. Migration among cities, suburbs and rural areas also can lead to changes in district lines to try to equalize the number of residents in each voting jurisdiction.

“We’ve got the next 10 years of politics at stake in these elections,” said Patrick Rodenbush, communications director for the National Democratic Redistricting Committee. Texas has 36 U.S. House seats, second only to California, and the potential to gain as many as three more because of its rapid growth.

In North Carolina, all congressional and some state legislative candidates will be running under newly redrawn districts this year after state courts stopped the use of prior maps drawn by the Republican-led Legislature. Democrats had argued that the old districts were an example of extreme partisan gerrymandering. Republicans hold 10 of North Carolina's 13 seats in the U.S. House, even though statewide elections between Republicans and Democrats are usually close.

Winning control of the Ohio House or Senate would be difficult for Democrats, yet each seat they can gain will increase the number of Democratic votes needed for the Republican majorities to enact new districts,.Gov. Laura Kelly, a Democrat, will be able to veto redistricting plans passed by the Republican-led Legislature. The question is whether Republicans will have the two-thirds majority needed to override a veto and be able to stick together if they do.

 

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