Republican victories in state legislative and gubernatorial elections in 2010 put them in a commanding position the next year to draw new voting districts for the U.S. House and state legislatures that helped fortify Republican power for much of the following decade.
Before the 2010 elections, the records reveal that Hofeller also strategized with Republicans about backing a successful California ballot initiative entrusting an independent commission — instead of the Democratic-led Legislature — with the task of congressional redistricting. A draft of one memo said it could help “avoid a GOP disaster” in the 2011 redistricting.
A July 2013 redistricting report to the Republican National Committee, stored in Hofeller’s electronic files, warned that Democrats “have outgunned the GOP in data preparation, community involvement and engagement in the redistricting process as well as committing legal resources.” Specifically, he wanted Republicans to establish a permanent redistricting entity. Its task would be to compile a decade’s worth of precinct-level election results from around the country that could be matched with 2020 census data to give mapmakers a granular history of which neighborhoods were most likely to vote for Republicans or Democrats.
But his plan wasn’t implemented. Two years later, Hofeller still was circulating a similar proposal among some Republicans. Part of the task of the National Republican Redistricting Trust “is helping the Republican Party catch up and eventually surpass what the Democrats have been doing for over a generation now.”
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