Record warm Gulf of Mexico may spell trouble for hurricane season

The start of the Atlantic hurricane season is June 1 and early outlooks suggest it could be one for the record books.

This hurricane season will be above normal. Here's why. At the start of May, the sea surface temperature was running slightly above the 1991 to 2020 average in the Gulf of Mexico. Since early May, the warming of Gulf waters has accelerated at breakneck speed. Record warmth in the Gulf There are two ways to measure the temperature of the Gulf or any other ocean basin: sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content.

As hurricane season rapidly approaches, can we predict hurricane landfalls? “When you make the water even warmer, you make the heat engine more efficient, therefore maximizing the potential intensity of the cyclone,” said Brian McNoldy, senior research associate at the University of Miami’s Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric and Earth Science. It comes as no surprise to McNoldy that this year’s hurricane season outlook has an 85% likelihood of being far more active than normal.

Rosenstiel School Of Marine University Of Miami Brian Mcnoldy Texans Harvey Gulf Of Mexico Atlantic Pacific Ocean Caribbean Sea Main Development Region Texas Southeast Texas Central America Africa West Coast East Coast Gulf Coast La Niña Atmospheric Earth Science THE PERFECT STORM

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