Ryan O'Hanlon is a staff writer for ESPN.com. He's also the author of"Net Gains: Inside the Beautiful Game's Analytics Revolution."
Except, we don't experience the season as a 10-game block. It's week after week after week, and the remaining strength of schedule shifts with each game that's played. Rather than just conclude that Liverpool have a significantly easier schedule than Arsenal and Man City and leave you with that, we're going to go a step further.
Thanks to that -- and Arsenal's excellence, no matter where they play -- Manchester City's hardest remaining match is one they play at home.Here's the third version of that xG table, including only matches played at home: Even with the decline, though, they've still been formidable at home: just one Premier League loss, 3-1 to West Ham back in August.Spurs already drew with both Arsenal and Manchester City earlier this season -- and both games were away from home. But as we've already touched on, Spurs have been one of the better road teams in the league. They've still been better at home than on the road, but not by as big of a degree as you might expect.
My general thesis on Man United is that, on average, they are a league-average team. But since their roster and tactics prevent them from ever controlling a match, and since they do have more talent than your typical league-average team, they're much more volatile than your average league-average team. Sometimes, you've got a win and a decent overall performance. Other times, they can't affect the game at all, and they have to hang on for dear life.
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