If China and America were to fall into the “Thucydides trap”—a seemingly inevitable conflict between a rising power and a declining one—the flashpoint of course would be Taiwan. Both countries’ forces war-game the conflict and it looks like an armed confrontation is a real possibility. China’s traditional tactics, derived from the board game Go rather than chess, is to gain so many small advantages as to convince a potential adversary to give up without a fight.
What should Europe do? President Biden’s trip to NATO in June was all about stabilising the eastern flank of the alliance and wooing European allies to the challenges ahead. In fact, leaving Afghanistan was part of America’s reorientation towards new threats. If America is to devote all its attention to China, then Russia should be persuaded to stay on the sidelines and Europe, starting with Germany, brought on board.
Europe’s military interests are different from America’s as well. The NATO treaty covers the mostly North Atlantic region and its mutual guarantees do not apply in Asia. Nor do we have any interests to protect so far from our shores. I predict that the European Union and its member states will want to collaborate with America on China on almost everything, except in the military sphere.
In the next few years, Europe should also prepare for the possibility that rivalry with China preoccupies America, weakening its traditional security guarantees. Politics aside, America has abandoned its ambition of having a military capable of fighting two wars at the same time. The mess in Afghanistan marked an ignoble departure but America still has the world’s biggest armed forces—though it may be reluctant to use them other than to protect its vital national interests.
Both we and the Chinese benefit GREATLY from our relationship. With the 'Soviet union' it was lose/lose.
Sikorski is much much much much much much OLDER.
sikorskiradek
European history has been vastly different from Chinese history. That's why!
western asses shakin'
Looks like Barry Switzer
🦠🦠🦠Mr. Miles Guo,The founder of the New Federal states of China, announced to the world for the first time that :“The antidote to the new coronavirus is 'artemisinin.”❤️❤️❤️ 🦠🦠🦠新中国联邦创始人郭文贵先生首次向世界宣布：新型冠状病毒的解药是“青蒿素”。❤️❤️❤️
radeksikorski At my age you learn, if money and self interest break economic and business 101 sustainability principles,all you get is a Gold Rush and that always end with a privileged few benefiting and the community with a lot of short term benefits but no sustainable economic future.
f1r2e3e4H5K6 radeksikorski Let’s fight against China dictatorship
radeksikorski We hope that Europe will be at the right side. The world will be doomed if it is a totalitarian regime that dominates!
LesJazd radeksikorski On miał być kiedyś szefem NATO, to znaczy sam się wyznaczył.
radeksikorski
radeksikorski rothschild= If my sons did not want war, we would have none!
radeksikorski
radeksikorski There is no inevitable conflict. If the conflict happens, it will be because hawks on either side made it so. There is always a path to peace. Always.
radeksikorski horrible
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