The Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening program will conclude this December without causing significant market disruption, analysts at Barclays said in a recent note.
This time, the Fed is taking a more cautious approach. The central bank has broadened its monitoring of funding conditions and started tapering QT with reserves still above $3.4 trillion. Moreover, central clearing and the Standing Repo Facility provide additional safeguards against a funding shock similar to 2019.
The second factor contributing to Barclays’ confidence is the expansion of sponsored repo activity and central clearing since 2020. These measures have significantly increased dealers' balance sheet capacity through netting.
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