LOUISVILLE, Ky. - It may still seem like an eternity away, but college football is closer to kickoff than you think. With Memorial Day just around the corner, we are roughly 100 days from football's triumphant return.
Add that momentum on top of the fact that Louisville once again brought in the No. 1 portal class in college football, how well will they perform in year two of the Jeff Brohm era? Well, we already have some idea thanks to the predictive college football metric SP+,SP+, according to its creator Bill Connelly of ESPN, is a "tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency".
Given their success on that side of the line of scrimmage last season, the metric is very high on the defensive side of the ball for the Cardinals. Louisville sports a defensive SP+ rating of 18.9, which ranks 23rd in the FBS. While it's an improvement from their 19.1 rating in February, their ranking actually fell two spots from 21st.
Using SP+, we can plug in the rating from each team on Louisville's schedule and take a deep dive into how the 2024 season might transpire. We can figure out the win percentage in each game , the expected wins mark at the end of the season, as well as the statistical likelihood of every outcome during and concluding the season.SP+ is pretty high on Louisville, and the metric still paints an optimistic picture.
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