Authors Swathi Nair and Jonathan Cable say the consensus stems from a “slight majority of forecasters.” Despite rising inflation in Europe, the poll’s findings highlight that 27 of 45 polled participants agreed that the ECB would wait until the last months of 2022. Reuters ran the current poll between March 1-4, while the news agency published the same poll question to economists last month. After the incident in Ukraine, “fewer economists” are forecasting the ECB to raise rates sooner.
“Only six economists expected the first hike to come sooner, in the third quarter, down from 16 in a poll last month,” the study details. Debates and betting on whether or not the ECB will raise interest rates at the March 10 policy meeting have heightened. In a client note, economists from Rabobank said the war should not change the ECB’s goals. “The war hasn’t really changed the difficult combination of inflation and growth risks, it has only exacerbated it,” Rabobank economists told Reuters.
Therefore, logically, it should not fundamentally change the ECB’s plans to cautiously and gradually withdraw some accommodative policies.In addition to discussions about the ECB possibly raising rates this year for the first time in a decade, the Federal Reserve’s possible rate hike is a hot topic as well. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to
in America this month, but the war in Ukraine may postpone this decision. Prior to the conflict in Europe, a slew of global investment banks predicted several rate hikes this year.
The French have an expression... 'Coup de Grace' Translation being 'Deathblow' Factor in ALL the extreme social & economic NEGATIVES that both the United States & the World are facing, and the Fed's are oblivious to the devastating impact/s a rate hike/s would cause?!!!
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Perhaps politicians think further than civilians.
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