Poll: Potential Trump Conviction Would Not Lift Biden’s Lagging Support

President Joe Biden’s historically low polling numbers would not receive a boost if former President Donald Trump is potentially found guilty in any legal case against him, a poll shows.

The poll appears to contradict a narrative that a potential Trump conviction would somehow boost Biden’s fledgling poll numbers. Biden’s support is around 40 percent. Incumbents with an approval rating of 50 percent or greater historically win reelection. The poll also indicates a small percentage of Trump’s current support would move to the undecided column should a Manhattan jury convict him.

Hypothetically, Trump could re-earn those undecided voters back into his column after the shock of a potential conviction wears off. Trump, along with some Republican lawmakers and conservative pundits, believeBiden’s support upon only conviction: 44 percentTrump’s support upon conviction and imprisonment: 37 percentTrump’s ongoing criminal trial in Manhattan is perhaps the only case in which a jury could find him guilty before November.

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