Old Guard Republicans Should Have Had an Easy Win Tonight. That's Not Guaranteed.

Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine greets Ohio state senator and Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Matt Dolan during a campaign event in Columbus, Ohio. | Paul Vernon/APJonathan Martin is POLITICO’s senior political columnist and politics bureau chief. He’s covered elections in every corner of America and co-authored a best-selling book about Donald Trump and Joe Biden. His reported column chronicles the inside conversations and major trends shaping U.S. politics.

Matt Dolan has lingering statewide name identification from his failed 2022 Senate bid and has been up on Ohio television since last fall, using his fortune to outspend his two Republican rivals. | Paul Vernon/AP DeWine climbed his way back in state politics, was elected governor in 2018 and has tread carefully through the Trump era. Now, at 77, he’s a relatively liberated lame duck. And seeing his chance to temper his party’s drift toward Trumpism he lunged. Well, lunged after he heard from his pollster that Dolan had a path to prevail and was convinced that his own endorsement would do more to help than harm.

I’m very concerned that we would have a senator that does not see the threat from Putin, does not see the threat from Russia. “Ohio Republicans should see this for what it is — a cynical attempt by Chuck Schumer and Democratic power brokers to choose our nominee,” Portman told me. If it all sounds like the old band trying to get together for one last show, well, DeWine didn’t exactly deny it. When I called him the Last of the Mohegans, he said he’d prefer a more Ohio appropriate moniker: “Last of the Shawnees.”means that Dolan doesn’t have to defeat a Trump-backed candidate straight up — he may only need a Nikki Haley-like, high-30s percent to prevail.

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump listens as Senate candidate Bernie Moreno speaks at a campaign rally March 16, 2024, in Vandalia, Ohio. | Jeff Dean/AP “I’m going to the United States Senate to make America stronger so wherever and whoever I need to work with to make America stronger and represent Ohio’s interests I’ll work with them,” Dolan said.

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