2014 numbers are used because the ACA became significantly more popular after President Trump took office and the chances of repealing the law increased.Still, if Americans’ overall attitudes toward the ACA were a weighted average of their views on its individual parts, the ACA should have been popular. But that clearly wasn’t the case: In that KFF survey, 41 percent had a favorable view of the law overall compared with 46 percent who had an unfavorable view.
To better understand what Americans knew about other aspects of the law, Cornell University’s Will Hobbs and I conducted an online survey in the fall of 2018 where we asked respondents whether a variety of policies were included in the original ACA. This survey wasn’t representative — respondents were not randomly selected from the general population, and instead opted to take an online survey.
So what does this mean for major policy proposals like Medicare for All or the Green New Deal? Well, the ACA provides a cautionary tale. Initial polling about major initiatives can be misleading. And even if most elements of a policy poll well, public opinion may come to be driven by the policy’s least-popular items. That’s especially true if the opposition launches an extended campaign against it.
The ACA also highlights an important difference between how policymakers and the public think about a complex policy. For the ACA’s architects, the legislation was an integrated whole, with various provisions working in tandem to increase access to comprehensive insurance. The individual mandate, for example, wasto driving younger, healthier people to buy insurance and to keep overall costs down.
Dan Hopkins is a professor of political science at the University of Pennsylvania, and his research focuses on American elections and public opinion.
FiveThirtyEight More than 30 million people disagree with this. Perhaps you could run the tale of two health care plans. Obamacare vs Patient Protection Affordable Care Act. Sad, a decade later and the same condition is true. Ignorance.
FiveThirtyEight We still have Obama care?
FiveThirtyEight People love Medicare. They hate being forced to buy a plan from a corporation that is openly much more concerned about profit and donations to politicians than quality healthcare.
FiveThirtyEight If what? Either had any comparisons.
FiveThirtyEight ACA FAVORABILITY STILL HIGHER THAN UNFAVORABILITY PER KAISER POLL.
FiveThirtyEight Yeah when it benefits corporate profiteering over the lives of the American people. I imagine it would be a cautionary tale. MedicareForAll eliminates a moneyed corporate middle man to deny people care for profit.
FiveThirtyEight That so-called “cautionary tale” enabled more Americans to have health insurance than EVER before. In particular, it gave people with pre-existing conditions an opportunity to have affordable health insurance that for-profit insurers wouldn’t otherwise provide.
FiveThirtyEight Since they had already botched everything up with Obamacare, why should they really be given another chance to do a whole 'nother overhaul? If you can't think up and implement small fixes, you shouldn't be trusted with a reform.
FiveThirtyEight Obamacare also known as the Affordable Care Act is extremely popular, unless you're a republican in congress.
FiveThirtyEight VoteDemsOut2020 NoMedicareForAll NoObamacare
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