Bills are committed to running a bit more if Week 15 is any indication. They saddled up Devin Singletary on Sunday for 22 carries against Carolina. They registered the fifth-lowest pass rate of Week 12 in New Orleans . And their situation-neutral pace has also dropped from where it was through the opening eight weeks, when it was 27.1 seconds per snap . It’s since been down to 30.1 seconds per snap .
Also leaning into the Under is the fact that these are two great pass defenses: Buffalo and the Patriots are first and second in yards allowed per passing play. Also boosting New England is the Patriots just having beat the Bills with a power brand of football. Buffalo also has struggled against other power-run teams they faced this year in Indy and Tennessee.
The Raiders have averaged 13.3 points per game their last three games without Darren Waller. They have had only two 20-plus-yard pass plays without him. They have scored 16 or fewer points in six of their last seven games. QB Derek Carr has now thrown one or fewer touchdown passes in five straight games and in six of the seven games since the bye.
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