Neither Israel nor Iran likely able to sustain long-drawn war, say experts

Objects are intercepted in the sky after Iran launched drones and missiles towards Israel, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel April 14, 2024. / Photo: Reuterson Israel has cast the spotlight on the possibility of a wider conflict in the Middle East and a larger discussion about the cost and sustainability of a potential long-drawn conflict.

Despite Tehran's ability to produce these systems more cheaply than other nations, Fabian Hinz, Research Fellow in Defence and Military, underscores the heavy price Iran has to pay amid the country's economic difficulties. Amid the current tensions in the region, some high-tech weapons, such as ballistic missiles and interceptors, typically take a long time to produce. Hinz explains that they depend on specialised components, subcontractors, and sensitive supply chains.A model of a missile is seen during a celebration following the IRGC attack on Israel, in Tehran

Kharief explains that the Arrow 3 can reach up to 2000 km per hour. It was funded by the US but made by Israel Aerospace Industries . It has specific components, including a rocket engine, a thrust vector aiding its manoeuvrability and ability to change direction and a gimballed seeker that tracks heat.Nevertheless, after Iran’s attack and continued tensions, some analysts are now questioning what impact it could have on regional power relations.

"On the other hand, Israeli defences have proven to be exceptionally good at defending Israel from uranium ballistic missiles. The Israelis have shown that their international friends will work with them - that this is useful for cooperation," he adds.the recent bombing of the Iranian consulate as"the clearest signal yet of Israel's determination to shift the conflict's rules of engagement.

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