Models predict massive wave of disease and death if China lifts ‘zero COVID’ policy

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Chinese authorities are gingerly moving to ease the burden of the country’s COVID19 lockdowns, quarantines, and constant testing—but new models show why the government still wants to keep a lid on.

Surprised and stung by protests against draconian “zero-COVID” policies, Chinese authorities are gingerly moving to ease the burden of lockdowns, quarantines, and constant testing. But 3 years into the pandemic, China shows no sign of planning a major course change. Mathematical models suggest why: The country is still ill-prepared for living with SARS-CoV-2.

But models show why the Chinese government still wants to keep a lid on. A study based on vaccination rates in March, published inin May, found that lifting zero-COVID restrictions at that point could “generate a tsunami of Hong Kong provides a cautionary tale: A big Omicron outbreak early this year caused nearly 6000 deaths, 96% of them in people 60 or older. At the time, Hong Kong’s vaccination rates were even lower than the mainland’s. In the first 3 months of this year, the city had a COVID-19 death rate of 37.7 per million population, among the highest anywhere.

Source: Healthcare Press (healthcarepress.net)

 

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Why is it none of the Covid Nazi's debate Dr's that bring the data and refute their claims. Unvaccinated here.

Herd immunity can’t be reached if the entire population is under constant lockdown.

If you knew the origen of the word gingerly, you wouldn't use it in this article. 😆 🤣 😂

They still need vaxxes, masking, and testing - just don't lock down millions when there's a positive case. Lock down that person and their contacts. There's a way to do this that isn't the huge hammer they've been wielding.

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