Mexico's monumental election isn't expected to bring big changes at the U.S.-Mexico border

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Sheinbaum will likely continue in lockstep along the path AMLO has followed with both the Trump and Biden administrations.

Bersin is executive chair at Altana Technology and Inaugural North America and fellow at the Wilson Center. He previously served as U.S. attorney for the Southern District of California and “border czar” for the U.S.-Mexico border during the Clinton administration and as commissioner of U.S. Customs and Border Protection during the Obama administration. He lives in Washington, D.C. Marroquín Bitar is Inaugural North America Scholar at the Wilson Center and lives in Washington, D.C.

However, Sheinbaum has also promised to continue AMLO’s ultra-nationalist policy of energy sovereignty and unwavering support for highly indebted and corrupt state firms like Pemex. It remains unclear how her expressed support for the dismantling of the 2013 energy liberalizing reform can be reconciled with the desire to increase foreign and private participation in the energy sector and Mexico’s market access commitments under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement .

 

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