The Timberwolves have a clear height advantage vs. the Mavericks in the Western Conference Finals, and our NBA betting picks expect Karl-Anthony Towns to take advantage of mismatches in Game 1.
Daniel Gafford, 6-foot-10, has been starting this postseason and then yielding many minutes to rookie Dereck Lively II. Gafford is many things — an energetic player, an attacking rebounder, an excellent lob finisher — but a defensive ace is not among them. Towns’ variety of post moves will bother Gafford, and Gafford cannot sell out against them because Towns will also make him work from the perimeter.
As is, Jason Kidd’s best option may be to play both Lively and Gafford — possibly to the detriment of Derrick Jones Jr., though that would then force Washington or Luka Doncic to hang with Edwards. Even with that lineup, Towns will be going against an overmatched defender. The obvious defensive choice for the Mavericks is to worry about Edwards. If he has not been doubled this postseason, he has exploded. But the combination of worrying about Edwards and not having multiple worthwhile bigs on the court should lead to many, many chances for Minnesota’s trio of big men.The Timberwolves opened as 4-point favorites after their dramatic Game 7 victory, a number that held steady until rising to -4.5 on early Wednesday morning.
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