Lynx vs Wings Predictions, Picks, Odds for Thursday's WNBA Game

Arike Ogunbowale might be catching a Minnesota Lynx team ready for a letdown, but our WNBA betting picks don't see the Dallas Wings star getting hot from distance against this defense.The Minnesota Lynx just won their first Commissioner’s Cup, doing so in emphatic fashion on the road on Tuesday against arguably the best team in the WNBA. A letdown at the Dallas Wings would not be too surprising, even if WNBA odds favor the Lynx by nearly double digits.

But some things extend beyond letdowns, and betting on the greatest Minnesota strength will lead our Lynx vs. Wings predictions anddefense remains underappreciated. Giving up 89 points to the Liberty on Tuesday did not help that, though it was actually a defensive masterclass in parts. New York scored 10 points in the third quarter, giving Minnesota a lead it would not relinquish for the final 14:27. And anyone who watched the Commissioner’s Cup championship game knows eight of the Liberty’s points came in the final 40 seconds out of desperation, when the Lynx defense could relax a bit.It is most effective along the perimeter. Bridget Carleton and Kayla McBride make life miserable for star guards.

Ogunbowale did play against the Lynx on June 2, going 2 of 5 from deep. That is about her only middling performance this season. She has been very much boom or bust. When Ogunbowale otherwise falls short of this prop, she has shot 4-for-43 in six games. When she has cleared this prop, she has shot 39-for-89 in eight games.Minnesota should be in for a letdown.

Without Ogunbowale, Dallas was a 14.5-point road underdog on June 17. The change in homecourt would have shifted that number to about +9 or +9.5. Does that mean Ogunbowale does not impact the spread at all? No. It means the Wings have been downgraded in the 10 days since, while the Lynx have also been upgraded.

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