Many people are desperate to see the return to normality promised by the final stage of the government's roadmap to lifting lockdown.
In the two parts of the UK that are furthest into this "third wave", the North West of England and Scotland, the number of people in hospital with coronavirus is rising faster than the rest of the UK. That is much harder to predict now than it was in the first or second waves, when scientists could predict what proportion of cases would need treatment.
. That's still a way off herd immunity, even if you add in people who have some immunity from having had coronavirus in the past. We're not there yet, and it's possible that the threshold is higher as Delta could be more infectious than imagined in this example.Predicting the future
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