Is The Electoral Map Changing?

toward Democrats over the last decade but remains far more Republican-leaning than other groups of Latinos. North Carolina is also a swing state, even though it has a fairly consistent Republican lean. North Carolina’s white college-educated population share isn’t that much smaller than Virginia’s, but it has a larger share of white voters who don’t have a four-year degree.

This is all to say that 2020 will be a pivotal year in understanding underlying trends within the Electoral College. Will states like Iowa or Ohio move further to the right? Georgia and Texas further to the left? Or should we expect more of a reversion to the mean? Suffice it to say that, with Trump on the ballot this November, many of the forces we saw in 2016 will be prevalent again in 2020.

FiveThirtyEight Iowa getting redder isn't b/c more people are voting for trump. It means the kids are moving away from the farm. The state is one of 27 where the population under 60 is declining while the population over 60 is growing. Demographics is why Republicans have to cheat to win.

FiveThirtyEight The GOP has been responsible for every recession since their founding. They have cut Social Security and Medicaid at every opportunity. States where they lead lag in education, jobs and income. What's wrong with white voters?

FiveThirtyEight It’s clear JoeBiden KamalaHarris & circus clowns are burning America and even Wisconsin being a swing state! Don’t worry America, realDonaldTrump has us all! Vote realDonaldTrump who does not destroy, but builds!

FiveThirtyEight I think that Biden's lead is starting to narrow because of what is being presented at the RNC. While some of the messaging might only work on Trump's base, it has enough power to make suburban voters, specifically women, consider going back to Trump. And Trump is losing suburbs.

FiveThirtyEight Red Tide. Get ready. Thanks for helping

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