Is a restoration of the Iran nuclear deal becoming increasingly unlikely?

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Experts think that a revitalisation of the nuclear deal is becoming increasingly distant as neither side is willing to make any concessions

that Tehran and Washington would get closer to revitalising the nuclear deal from which the former Trump administration withdrew in 2018, leaving the agreement in limbo.

Members of Burns' delegation told their counterparts that “the chances of Iran returning to the 2015 nuclear deal are slim”Despite how the Israeli media presented the issue, in reality it was not Iran but the US that left the deal and the Vienna talks appear to be mainly focused on how the US can return to the deal. The Israelis have opposed the nuclear deal from the outset.

US President Joe Biden signalled to return to the nuclear deal prior to his election, but his administration's Iran policy gives a little hope that the JCPOA could be restored between Washington and Tehran. But they have also not wanted to be perceived as people who don’t allow ordinary Iranians to benefit from the lifting of sanctions and an energised economy thanks to incentives granted under the deal. Under the current hardliner government, Tehran is demanding the full implementation of the nuclear deal, refusing any concessions to the US and its allies.

But many ordinary Iranians will probably have a very little interest in a new deal, which does not give them any sanctions relief and possible economic benefits. As a result, for Iran’s hawkish government, the Western approach could provide a good reason not to reach an agreement with the US. “For now with what we know, I think the CIA chief is right, there is not that much chance for JCPOA anymore,” she adds.

 

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