A landmark 2016 RAND Corporation study on the topic found that providing transition-related care to active duty personnel would increase the Pentagon's budget by a fraction of a percent. The department's hypothetical spending on trans service members would be dwarfed by the budget for mental health services alone.
Retired Marine Corps Captain Emma Shinn, who served as a Judge Advocate, said that the president's"demonstrably false" statements add to the body of evidence discrediting his rationale behind the ban. "If the things he said are what motivated this policy, then the policy has no rational basis," she said."There's no question this will figure into the litigation."
The RAND study similarly examined international examples of trans-inclusive military policies and found"no significant effect on cohesion, operational effectiveness, or readiness." But Kennedy has retired and Justice Brett Kavanaugh has taken his place to give the court a solid conservative majority. Culhane opined that the conservative justices"don't want to get dragged into the daily tweet storm and what it means" and will ultimately sign off on the ban.
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